Program
Foundations of Uncertainty: Probability and Its Rivals
Programme
Tuesday 1 September
13:30 14:20 registration
14:20 14:30 opening
14:30 15:30 Glenn Shafer Three Betting Interpretations of Probability
15:30 16:15 Klaus Nehring Imprecise Probabilistic Beliefs in the Presence of Ambiguity (slides)
16:15 16:45 coffee break
16:45 17:30 Jeremy Shipley Probability, Precision, and Prudence: On White's Puzzle
17:30 18:15 Moritz Schulz What Should I Believe?
Wednesday 2 September
09:30 10:30 Peter Milne Probability as a Measure of Information Added (slides)
10:30 11:15 Aidan LyonA Third Concept of Probability
11:15 11:30 coffee break
11:30 12:15 Richard Pettigrew and Hannes Leitgeb Bayesian Epistemology and the Goal of 00:00 00:00 Accuracy
12:15 13:00 Timothy Childers and Ondrej Majer Representing Subjective Probabilities (slides)
13:00 15:00 lunch
15:00 16:00 Alan Hájek Arrows and Haloes: Probabilities, Conditionals, Desires, and Beliefs
16:00 16:30 coffee break
16:30 17:15 Wolfgang Pietsch Varieties of Pluralism in the Interpretation of Probability
17:15 18:00 Ken Binmore Rational Decisions
Thursday 3 September
09:30 10:30 Jeff Paris Symmetry's End?
10:30 11:15 Bert Leuridan Objective Bayesianism and Unfair Coins (slides)
11:15 11:30 coffee break
11:30 12:15 Jacob Rosenthal Probabilities as Ratios of Ranges in Initial-state Spaces (slides)
12:15 13:00 Jörg Zimmermann and Armin B. Cremers Measuring Uncertainty with Elements
00:00 00:00 of the [0; 1]-Interval of Partially Ordered Rings (slides)
13:00 15:00 lunch
15:00 16:00 Jim Joyce Do Imprecise Credences Make Sense? (slides)
16:00 16:30 coffee break
16:30 17:15Franz Huber The Consistency Argument for Ranking Functions (slides)
17:15 18:00Aviezer Tucker Inference from Multiple Testimonies: Supervenient Social Knowledge
00:00 00:00 (slides)
19:30 banquet
Friday 4 September
09:30 10:30Teddy Seidenfeld Coherence with Proper Scoring Rules (slides)
10:30 11:00 coffee break
11:00 11:45 Christopher Hitchcock Cause and Chance
11:45 12:30 Anubav Vasudevan and Haim Gaifman Some Incoherencies Resulting from
00:00 00:00 Minimal Information Methods (slides)
12:30 closing